Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 12.820449 14.340077 15.984199 17.897820 20.067215 22.453980 25.283953
2025-06-01 10.527680 12.547122 14.889222 17.816451 21.391244 25.632701 31.072829
2025-06-08 8.865718 11.171806 14.015660 17.803962 22.753093 29.046829 37.732551
2025-06-15 7.810037 10.357749 13.682671 18.383544 24.928990 33.823496 47.002008
2025-06-22 6.720571 9.328601 12.909542 18.253152 26.140922 37.538939 55.591715
2025-06-29 5.761278 8.331393 12.025841 17.817000 26.837733 40.640363 63.920225
2025-07-06 5.040912 7.569701 11.362152 17.586355 27.785294 44.263230 73.788707
2025-07-13 4.627417 7.206602 11.237131 18.156419 30.076069 50.408070 89.133009
2025-07-20 4.274394 6.886605 11.128971 18.727648 32.455974 57.126087 106.985132
2025-07-27 3.914359 6.505026 10.863559 18.982507 34.315937 63.253760 125.128926
2025-08-03 3.526953 6.026291 10.366832 18.744702 35.220789 67.748963 141.043650
2025-08-10 3.180265 5.575145 9.858514 18.404701 35.863296 71.834122 157.050352
2025-08-17 2.879543 5.178259 9.412023 18.144810 36.682916 76.572717 176.063237
2025-08-24 2.631487 4.849685 9.052533 18.006200 37.740641 82.061117 198.410351
2025-08-31 2.422897 4.571731 8.755836 17.953227 38.981676 88.237446 224.285430
2025-09-07 2.299592 4.445869 8.744801 18.508030 41.704710 98.508328 264.147299
2025-09-14 2.121789 4.189632 8.434682 18.355072 42.737266 104.847143 294.982253
2025-09-21 1.937739 3.900064 8.019565 17.901054 42.954797 109.145703 321.170080
2025-09-28 1.791399 3.673919 7.713921 17.658398 43.664840 114.930058 353.909596
2025-10-05 1.720296 3.602039 7.740068 18.222951 46.604035 127.645249 413.937121
2025-10-12 1.654194 3.533693 7.765550 18.790443 49.669279 141.496989 483.165193
2025-10-19 1.572221 3.420580 7.673318 19.041806 51.899285 153.380692 549.854115
2025-10-26 1.467351 3.243837 7.409366 18.800018 52.649001 160.773714 602.115806